Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 19.509269 22.521471 25.773964 29.538251 33.765785 38.357747 43.713508
2025-10-05 15.302358 19.696550 24.882933 31.411447 39.361353 48.676609 60.361890
2025-10-12 12.751656 17.876233 24.355349 33.044765 44.276054 58.174995 76.530024
2025-10-19 10.566408 15.952796 23.176839 33.396039 47.271317 65.220868 89.920261
2025-10-26 8.900238 14.365335 22.090514 33.541405 49.763569 71.555551 102.595944
2025-11-02 7.454130 12.816433 20.778923 33.101730 51.247058 76.462740 113.499777
2025-11-09 6.268347 11.449746 19.511078 32.499788 52.319705 80.726874 123.624737
2025-11-16 5.283132 10.233960 18.289990 31.776053 53.054244 84.438481 133.056042
2025-11-23 4.373583 8.991204 16.850747 30.515388 52.791973 86.574096 140.204024
2025-11-30 4.010025 8.654740 16.854003 31.548236 56.132650 94.237495 155.897460
2025-12-07 3.697326 8.361183 16.885053 32.603962 59.547591 102.163128 172.347758
2025-12-14 3.189612 7.606641 16.001969 31.986131 60.129110 105.642669 182.055933
2025-12-21 2.674628 6.779460 14.936602 31.034361 60.235234 108.632103 191.616183
2025-12-28 2.556789 6.785890 15.474467 33.081995 65.727338 120.806919 216.699158
2026-01-04 2.410989 6.704518 15.825857 34.805757 70.764589 132.507888 241.614583
2026-01-11 2.153360 6.314927 15.496663 35.175799 73.364328 140.215461 260.292873
2026-01-18 1.910999 5.913537 15.085340 35.328259 75.547991 147.295724 278.227914
2026-01-25 1.655312 5.424197 14.412829 34.868578 76.515564 152.264727 292.758936
2026-02-01 1.424037 4.948087 13.700259 34.239094 77.082187 156.513236 306.200002
2026-02-08 1.217768 4.493297 12.969261 33.482135 77.315727 160.134095 318.662980
2026-02-15 1.011802 3.986780 12.034536 32.163331 76.289898 161.337029 326.817435
2026-02-22 0.947702 3.906089 12.153663 33.243837 80.272597 172.116084 352.759367
2026-03-01 0.889537 3.832024 12.279513 34.348045 84.370929 183.301258 379.894772